Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005199 0.005744 0.006308 0.006934 0.007608 0.008312 0.009100
2025-01-05 0.004463 0.005258 0.006123 0.007128 0.008260 0.009492 0.010929
2025-01-12 0.003810 0.004716 0.005739 0.006969 0.008400 0.010006 0.011932
2025-01-19 0.003386 0.004372 0.005519 0.006939 0.008635 0.010583 0.012974
2025-01-26 0.003013 0.004044 0.005277 0.006843 0.008759 0.011006 0.013818
2025-02-02 0.002740 0.003808 0.005121 0.006826 0.008955 0.011498 0.014736
2025-02-09 0.002497 0.003589 0.004963 0.006786 0.009108 0.011928 0.015572
2025-02-16 0.002371 0.003509 0.004972 0.006949 0.009507 0.012658 0.016782
2025-02-23 0.002154 0.003291 0.004785 0.006845 0.009555 0.012944 0.017438
2025-03-02 0.002006 0.003154 0.004695 0.006857 0.009745 0.013405 0.018315
2025-03-09 0.001949 0.003141 0.004768 0.007084 0.010218 0.014232 0.019668
2025-03-16 0.001847 0.003055 0.004734 0.007161 0.010489 0.014799 0.020694
2025-03-23 0.001780 0.003019 0.004772 0.007341 0.010909 0.015577 0.022020
2025-03-30 0.001724 0.002995 0.004824 0.007542 0.011361 0.016406 0.023430
2025-04-06 0.001565 0.002804 0.004624 0.007376 0.011299 0.016546 0.023928
2025-04-13 0.001458 0.002685 0.004523 0.007345 0.011419 0.016927 0.024747
2025-04-20 0.001341 0.002543 0.004380 0.007245 0.011437 0.017165 0.025373
2025-04-27 0.001255 0.002445 0.004296 0.007227 0.011566 0.017554 0.026206
2025-05-04 0.001170 0.002342 0.004200 0.007185 0.011658 0.017890 0.026969
2025-05-11 0.001139 0.002330 0.004245 0.007355 0.012059 0.018663 0.028344
2025-05-18 0.001049 0.002209 0.004111 0.007246 0.012046 0.018848 0.028904
2025-05-25 0.000991 0.002141 0.004057 0.007259 0.012210 0.019287 0.029820
2025-06-01 0.000982 0.002159 0.004147 0.007497 0.012716 0.020221 0.031447